Fitch: It is estimated that the sales growth rate of food, beverage, tobacco and consumer goods will be in low single digits in 2025.The balance of A-share financing reached a new high of more than 9 years. According to Wind data, as of December 11th, the balance of A-share market financing reached 1,875.85 billion yuan, a new high of more than 9 years. In the first three trading days of this week, the financing balance "increased three times in a row", with a cumulative increase of 22.579 billion yuan. Analysts believe that short-term ample liquidity and optimistic policy expectations are still the main support of the market. In the medium and long term, the A-share market is expected to continue to fluctuate upward under the dual promotion of policy expectations and economic trends. (china securities journal)Fang Yi, Chief Strategy Officer of Guotai Junan: The conditions of "transformation cattle" in China stock market are forming four themes, focusing on mergers and acquisitions and self-control. Fang Yi, Chief Analyst of Guotai Junan Strategy, said at the main forum of Guotai Junan 2025 investment strategy that the bottom of China stock market has appeared, and the conditions of "transformation cattle" are forming; The key driving force of the market comes from the decline of risk-free interest rate and the boost of risk preference, and the economic expectation is expected to be revised up in 2025H2; The mid-line of the stock market is expected to get out of the N-rhythm. Theme recommendation: merger and reorganization/self-control/humanoid robot/self-consumption. 1) M&A and reorganization: the regulatory tolerance of cross-border M&A and acquisition of unprofitable assets has been improved, and we are optimistic about the traditional industry leaders who are the main enterprises of science and technology chain and benefit from the optimization of industry structure; 2) Self-control: global science and technology supply chain reconstruction, optimistic about the improvement of localization rate of advanced semiconductors/basic software; 3) Humanoid robot: mass production and application scenario expansion are accelerated, and key components such as dexterous hands/actuators are optimistic; 4) Self-satisfaction consumption: demographic changes have given birth to new consumption patterns, and we are optimistic about the high growth of secondary consumption/pet consumption.
Broadcom's adjusted net revenue in the fourth quarter was $14.05 billion, with an expected $14.08 billion. Broadcom's adjusted net revenue in the fourth quarter was $14.05 billion, with an expected $14.08 billion. The adjusted earnings per share in the fourth quarter was $1.42, and it was expected to be $1.39; Revenue in the first quarter is expected to be about $14.6 billion, and analysts expect it to be $14.61 billion.Broadcom's share price rose more than 10% after the US market closed.The probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December is 94.7%. According to CME's "Fed Watch", the probability that the Fed will keep the current interest rate unchanged by December is 5.3%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 94.7%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 4.1%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 73.7%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 22.3%.
Nine stowaways' bodies were found in Tunisia, and Tunisia's national news agency reported on the 12th that its coast guard found nine stowaways' bodies in the waters near Mahdiyah province in the east.At the end of new york on Thursday (December 12th), the main contract of CME Bitcoin futures BTC was reported at $100,000, down 1.90% from the end of new york on Wednesday. The main contract of CME ethereum futures DCR was reported at $3,888.50, up 0.52% from Wednesday.In addition to the front page content, today's People's Daily's main financial contents include: 1. The special promotion activity of "Investing in China" in the Middle East was held in the United Arab Emirates; 2. Promote China's economic ships to ride the wind and waves to achieve stability (talk about implementation)-comrades attending the meeting talk about implementing the spirit of the Central Economic Work Conference; 3. On the 10th anniversary of the comprehensive water supply, the first phase of the East Central Line Project has transferred more than 76.7 billion cubic meters of water to the northern region, solidly promoting the South-to-North Water Transfer Project to exert greater benefits (authoritative release); 4. Overcome the problem of traveling on the thin soft soil seabed, and the domestic underwater cable laying robot can complete the launching test with an operating speed of kilometers per hour; 5. Ensure that artificial intelligence is always a "friend" (live comment); 6, more and better use of clean energy (micro); 7. The tenth batch of 62 kinds of drugs were successfully purchased by the state, and the products selected in this centralized purchase will be used in April next year; 8. The competitiveness index of China's overall agricultural scientific papers ranks first in the world; 9. The personal pension system will be implemented nationwide, and the number of accounts opened has exceeded 70 million, adding more stable income investment varieties. Experts advise investors to allocate products according to their own risk preferences, financial management knowledge and age; 10. In the first nine months of this year, tourism revenue increased by 8.6% year-on-year. Brazil accelerated the development of tourism and expected more tourists from China to visit; 11. Malaya Investment Bank-The economies of several ASEAN countries are expected to maintain growth next year.
Strategy guide
Strategy guide
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